Where you’re throwing money: 2/28

How’d gambling go last night? Not well? I probably could’ve guessed that. Lucky for you, I’m back giving you some insight into what college basketball games you should be throwing money on tonight.

Quick recap of last night. I couldn’t have been more wrong about that UVA-UNC game. I really didn’t think the Cavaliers had the offensive firepower to keep up with the Tar Heels. Wow, I was really off.

I was correct about the pick ‘em at Baylor. Motley dropped 23 and 8 in a 9 point W for the Bears over the Mountaineers.

And I was correct that the Virginia Tech-Miami would be a close game the whole way. The lead went back and forth all second half until the Hokies went up by 3 with about 2 minutes left and never gave the lead up.

But, the past is the past, and I’m still 5/9 so far with my picks. It’s time to make a buck on tonight’s games. Here we go.

The first game is going to kill me. Like PJ, I thought Indiana was going to be really good this year. I thought they’d be the best team to come out of the Big 10 (which, honestly, isn’t saying much), and they’d be an actual contender come tourney time. We were both wrong. Indiana is awful. Like, bad enough to make your eyes bleed. They bring their 6-10 in conference record to Purdue, who is 12-4 in the pathetic Big 10. The spread here -10.5 in favor of the Boilermakers. Naturally, I’m going to be stubborn and bet on Indiana covering. The last meeting was only decided by 5 points, although I admit the Hoosiers did have home court advantage. I still think this game will be very similar, though. I just believe Indiana is the best team in the country at giving me false hope and then losing, so I see this game being close, me getting excited, then Indiana losing at the end. That’s been a trend all year.

The game you actually should spend time watching at 7 o’clock is Florida State heading to Durham to take on Duke. The line currently sits at -6.5 in favor of the Blue Devils. And I’m going to pick Duke covering. Cameron Indoor is the toughest place to play in the nation and this Duke team is really talented. Grayson Allen is iffy to play in the game, so I’ll disclose that I am making this pick assuming he is playing. I think Duke plays well on Senior Night for Matt Jones and Amile Jefferson, who has been at Duke almost as long as Perry Ellis was at Kansas, and they cover the 6.5 in front of an always electric home crowd.

Oh boy. The 9 o’clock ESPN2 game has my gambling kryptonite: Deonte Burton. Deonte and I do not get along well, whether he knows it or not. I can never predict what will happen when Deonte Burton is on the floor. So, here’s what’s going to happen: I’m going to make my honest and thought out prediction, and with all of my heart, I want you to do the opposite. So, the line here is -4 in favor of my nemesis, Deonte. Monte Morris has the Cyclones back in the top 25, nearing the end of the season. He takes on Jawun Evans, Phil Forte, and the rest of the Cowboys. Here’s where this prediction gets weird. I think my nemesis, Deonte Burton, will be the difference in the game. As much as I hate him, Deonte is versatile. He’s a poor-man’s Julius Randle at the collegiate level that bulldozes his way to the left, and ignores anything that is on the right side of the court. He’s a little bit of threat to shoot the rock if you leave him open, and he is quicker than most bigs. That combo, paired with his ability to handle, makes him a mismatch at the 4 for most teams. I expect the big dog Deonte to bark, and Monte to dominate the backcourt on Senior Night. The Cyclones cover here, as much as it pains me to say.

The regular season is coming to an end, and then the madness will begin. So get your bets in. Because if you think gambling is hard now, just wait until the tournament. A crazy and unpredictable world where 70 foot buzzer beaters happen every other game and 4 seeds get outplayed by 13 seeds just to drain your wallet.

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